Why Bet On A Looser?

No one should want to bet on a "Looser", but that is what we are doing.  This blog will explain why.

I think that we have all made bets of one form or another and few of us want to admit that we have bet on a "looser". People and business make bets all the time and most of us look at the situation and try to bet on the winner.  In economics, we call this betting by business "capitalism".  Isn't that right?  If a business bets on losers, it will not be long before the business goes broke. Most people do not realize that business is making bets all the time and they want to bet on winners if they can.  Now how does this compare with the liberal or socialist people?

Unlike business that tries to bet on winners, liberals and socialist do not mind betting on losers.  In most cases, the liberals and socialist do not even realize that they are betting on losers.  Unlike business who want to produce a bigger pie, liberals and socialist are satisfied with the same size or even a smaller pie. When it comes to dividing up that pie, liberals and socialist are more concerned about how the pie is divided up than how big the piece is for the average person.

It would be nice and would make us all feel good if we could bet on losers and still end up winning, but like life, that may not be possible.  To drive this point home, I will try an example using a typical school math class.  Let's say that the class had 30 kids and as we all know, some are smarter than others.  In the past, the class might be divided into three group, Robins, Blue Birds and Sparrows with the Sparrows being the best in math. This would allow each group to grow to the maximum of their potential and for the record, business would want to hire these Sparrows and pay them well.  They might still hire some Blue Birds, but they could not afford to pay them as much as the Sparrows.  Here is what happens when the liberals and socialist get control of that math class.

The liberals and socialist would not see the above system as being "fair" and "equal" and would be willing to bet on a system that prevented Sparrows from growing to their potential if they could get "equality".  Businesses would not give up but would still hire the Sparrows even though they would find it more difficult to compete against countries like China. I think that most of you can follow this.

I am as sensitive to the fact that some of us are just not that talented in math and may not earn as much as someone else, but betting on the looser at the expense of the talented is not a real solution.  If you have even the smallest grasp of the above, then you know that we must have some kind of compromise that does not kill the goose that lays the golden eggs.  Even small children hare heard and understand the story about those who killed the goose that laid golden eggs.  We have to try to produce the largest pie possible and then compromise on how the pie is divided up, knowing that it has to be divided on the basis of both merit and need.  If little consideration is given to merit, you can be assured that the pie will be significantly smaller.

One has to play by the rules of the game, even if you don't like the rules.  The is true when it comes to economics.  Places like China are working hard to create a bigger pie for themselves and if we put our heads in the sand and do not realize this and spend too much of our money on Robins, at the end of the game, we will be living in poverty in homes rented from the Chinese.  What we have to do is to start betting on winners for a change and compromise on the losers.

Root Cause

 We hear a lot of talk about "Root Cause", but does anyone really know what a "Root Cause" is?  I will point out a few in this blog.

First, let's look at our Southern border.  We have all these people, some with young children, crossing out Southern border illegally. For some the Root Cause is poverty from where they came from, which is true, but it is not the Root Cause.  If not, what is?  You could cure poverty by sending them money or food, but does that solve the Root Problem?  No.  Most of these countries also have between 900 and 1,100 people per square mile.  Is that the Root Problem?  No!  We could let them immigrate to the USA and thus reduce the number of people per square mile, but did we solve the Root Problem?  Again, no!  In a few years the population per square mile would be back to where it started.  If these are not the solution to the Root Problem, what is? 

The Root Problem is made up of at least 4 elements and anyone could the tall tent pole.  So what are they?

(1)  Breeding too many children per family

(2)  Beginning breeding at too young of an age

(3)  Increase in life expectancy

(4)  Carrying capacity of the country per square mile.

You could do all of this with simple mathematical correlation.  That mean finding the factors that align with "symptom".  You then examine the list of factors with high correlation to determine if they are the Root Cause.  Double blind testing each factor is a good way to do this.  Example, do like China did and limit the number of children to a family to just two kids.  If the population per square mile goes down, then you know you have found a Root Cause.

In my case, all I did was to go to the internet and search 4 items on my list above and see if the country was so poor that many wanted to immigrate out.  It worked like a charm.  You could go further and see if there are any other factors that encourage more breeding or breeding at a younger age.  What you find is that the Catholic and Muslim religions both encourage breeding so as to produce more followers.  In the case of the Muslim religion, they encourage younger breeding and multiple wives so that most females are knocked up on a regular basis.

Factor (3) above was a significant factor many years go, but not today.  Factor (4) has actually helped in the more responsible countries, but in those who have a lot of goats, they have gotten worse.  You only have to look at the growth in the size of the Sahara Desert to see the impact of humans and their goats.

The bottom line is that breeding and the "thrill" that goes along with it is the Root Cause  for 90% of the problems facing the future of the human race and rewarding those who have broken the simple rules is not the way to change the Root Cause.  It will take some  pain for those who have been over breeding so we all should just get use to it! 

PS--One fact that I did not include above is "nutrition".  It is a fact that females that are underfed can not get pregnant.  This was the case in Ireland until Columbus brought back the potato from the New World.  Historically places like Africa had a stable population because they had limited food and thus females could not have more children or many of the excess children they had died from starvation.  Foreign aid and missionaries have contributed to over population by giving food to poor countries.  The solution for over population is "pain".  Other actions might make you feel good, but they only make the over population problem and suffering worse.

Most deer hunters know that when the Does have more food that they tend to have more twins and triplets.  It is exactly the same for us humans!.  

Free College

 How could "free college" be a bad idea?  I will explain in this blog.

I just listened to a speech from Biden where he proposed the federal government pay for "free college" for anyone who wanted it.  He proposed several other "free" things, but here I am only going to cover "free college".  Here is how "free college" works.  We now have over 1.6 trillion in student loans that are very questionable about being ever paid back.  It might as well be "free" since that is how much of the money is going to end up.  

Now we have a system where kids under age 18 along with their high school career advisors are  choosing college majors for many of our children.  The main motivation is for kids to "follow their dreams".  For most kids below age 18, they have a poor understanding of the future and how they will fit in or compete. Most high school counselors are among the stupidest people in our education system.  99% never had a real job.  They are more like politicians than real advisors.  Why is it that so many kids who graduate from college today with tax money are not able to pay back the money that the tax payers have loaned to them?  I think you know the reason.  Remember that Biden proposed taxing big businesses to get the money that they plan to give to students.

Now, let's look at how college has been paid for in the past.  It is businesses who have been paying for college not the government.  I know this will hit many as an error, but let me explain.  Kids used to earn or borrow the money for college like an "investment".  As an "investment" they expected to get a job with some business and earn the extra money to pay their loan off.  Note that business pays different amounts depending on how valuable the kids education is to them.  Notice that a business pays more for an Engineer or Medical Doctor than they do for a degree in English Literature.  It was the businesses who used to determine what kids studied in college, not a high school career advisor.

The bottom line is, "who is best qualified to spend tax money?"  It is clear that business currently does a better job than the government and I mean federal government.  If Biden's idea was so good, why don't states or cities pay for "free college" now?  If you look at the mix of college degrees since the government got into the college loan business you will find that worthless degrees have expanded while those needed by your business and economic system have decline or have not grown.  Remember that we now import well over 50% of our Medical Doctors.  The impact of the government student loan program has had the affect or raising the cost of all degrees including Medical Doctors.  This has made kids from foreign countries  now a better investment for business than our more expensive graduates.

We are worse off due to government involvement, not better!

Natural Resouces

 I have blogged on Natural Resources before, but it appears that it may have gone over the heads of some. This is a partial repeat.

The USA is blessed with a very good supply of petroleum, but Biden has just canceled out that blessing by canceling pipelines and not allowing drilling on public lands. As an engineer, I like to look at things in terms of a "free body diagram".  That is where you draw a circle around the item you are examining and then account for all the items that enter and exit that circle.  Many people just look at one element without and consideration of context.  In the case of oil, it turns out that we can produce oil at a competitive price with most of the world.  We could sell 100% of our oil to the rest of the world if we wanted. 

If you look around, you will notice all the items that we import like clothing and shoes.  Why is that?  The reason is that we can not produce clothing and shoes at a price that most of you would pay for them.  This being the case, did you ever think about where we earn the money to buy these imported cloths and shoes? What do you produce that someone in China would buy from you?  Can't think of something!

In the case of oil or crops grown by farmers on our very special land that we have been blessed with, China will buy them from us. Interesting!  Now look at what Biden did.  He made our production on oil so difficult and expensive that we are now forced to import oil and oil products like "plastic".  Before Biden cam along we did not have export anything to pay for our oil, we had our own oil.  Now we have to come up with the money to import oil and what is that product that you are going to make that the world would prefer to buy from you rather than China.  Again, you can't think of one can you!

If you followed the above, then there may be hope that more people will understand the critical importance of natural resources in the economy of a country and thus the quality of life for its citizens. The other point is that the natural resources are fixed and limited and when you allow too much immigration the share of the pie gets smaller for us citizens.  Biden made our share of our oil blessing less for each of us and now how are we going to make it up?  Well, we are not.  We are now poorer and we will have a lower quality of life than we otherwise could have had!

Global Warming Strategy

 What to see a logical "Global Warming Strategy"?   I will explain one in this blog.

The key principle for solving any problem is to first clearly define the problem and then the "cause.  First, I am not so sure that we even have global warming problem.  The advocates must haver known this because they have changed their slogan from "warming" too "change". If you look back at Earth's history over the past few million years when there were not humans you can clearly see that climate has changed in very significant ways.  There fore, why do so many now conclude that changes are the result of us humans?

If there is some kind of change that is impacting the quality of life for us humans, I feel that it is being caused by over population.  Now, building on this simple fact, it has to be clear that the use of energy and the creation of different kinds of waste are a function of the quality of life being experienced by us humans.  It follows that rich people generate more waste than poor people.  That is a clear fact.  If a poor person immigrates to the USA where they can enjoy a better quality of life that they will generate more waste here in the USA than they did where they came from. 

Given the above, what should our strategy be if we want to reduce waste and thus global warming or climate change?  Here are the clear steps.  We should prevent people from poor countries to immigrate into the USA, plus we should prevent excess growth of our own population.  If poor countries want to improve their citizens quality of life, their best strategy is to reduce their population.  Why is no one calling for birth control for these poor countries?  Allowing uncontrolled immigration only makes the pollution problem worse.

How about a little math to support my point.  Biden wants to reduce the pollution by the USA over the next few years in absolute numbers by some 50%.  While doing this, let's say that the USA population grows by 10%.  That means that on an individual basis, each of us has to reduce our pollution by 54.5%.  If .on the other hand, the USA population went down by the same 10%, each of us would only have to reduce our individual pollution by 45.4%.  That is a very significant difference.

I think that it has to be clear that pollution and quality of life  are significantly impacted by breeding and immigration.

Hatti

 Have you noticed all the Hattians crossing our Southern border?  This blog will shed some light on the situation.

If the objective of the USA is to help our citizens have the highest possible quality of life, it has to be clear that Biden is asleep at the stick when it comes to uncontrolled immigration.  Here are some facts that all should understand.  The median age of the USA citizens is about 38 and the population density is about 75 per square mile.  Even if you are in favor of some immigration, it should not be such that it has a major impact on just who and what the USA is.  In my county, the population density is about 17 per square mile while the population density of Hatti is about 1,075 per square mile.  Also, their average age is under 20.  It is true that Hatti is a "hell hole", but the cause is their own. It is simple over breeding.  If we were talking about cats and dogs, I think that most people would understand the cause and the cure, but for some reason, people are blind when it comes to other countries.  If you look at other countries in Central America where they are trying to immigrate to the USA, they are just as over populated too.

I used to live in San Jose, California where in the late 1940's, it was a nice place with a lot of orchards and open spaces.  I even knew a kid who shot a mountain lion in city limits.  Today, it is a mass of freeways and all the orchards and vineyards are all gone.  They used to have about 13 canneries and now there are "zero".  Growth has been good for some, but for most the quality of life is worse.  It is a place of "rich" and "poor", with few in the middle.  Most of the people who I knew have gotten rich and have moved out and taken their money with them leaving the poor behind.  Many people of high intellect and education have moved in and have made a lot of money while most of the local people have suffered.

Back to Hatti.  Think of what the future of the USA would look like if we had a different immigration policy.  What if we would only let immigrants come in if it improved the average quality of life here? To do that, we might require that the earing potential of immigrants be "higher" than our current average?  What if we only let in people who came from countries with proven breeding responsibility? That might mean that they came only from countries that had an average age of over 30 or a population density of below 250 per square mile?  Would that be too much to ask?  What if we did not allow then to send part of their pay back home as a "remittance"?   Did you know that for many of the countries where the immigrants come from that their biggest source of income is from "remittances"?  Does all of this sound like "putting the USA citizens first"?   What is wrong with that.  Realized that is was the USA citizens who are here and their parents built the USA, not a bunch of irresponsible foreigners.

Do you ever talk about our immigration policy with you friends?  Are you concerned that your ideas might be attacked and that you might be "canceled"?  How about some of you Bible friends?   If you have you eyes open, then you know that these are some of the people who are trying to kill the USA that we have known.

Crime Pays

 Do you think "Crime Pays"?  In the case of Afghanistan, it does.  This blog will use some 4th grade math to show you.

I think the size of the Afghan Taliban was about 75,000.  I will use this number to calculate how much each terrorist earned in about 3 or 4 months.  The estimates that I have heard about the cost of building the USA Embassy in Afghanistan was about $850,000,000.  If you divide that up between the 75,000 terrorists, you get $11,333 for each terrorist.  That looks like a good payoff for just 3 or 4 months of work.

Now, let's look at the military equipment that we left behind.  Remember that we left over 22,000 Humvee's. That is only a drop in the bucket.  If the terrorist put those Humvees in a parade with them spaced every 50 feet, the parade would be over 200 miles long!  I have seen estimates that the total value of the military equipment that we left was worth at least $350,000,000,000.  If we divide that again by the number of terrorists, we get $4,666,000 for each terrorist.  That means that each terrorist is not a millionaire.  Not bad for bunch of men who can not even read or write.

I just thought that these numbers might wake some of you up and open you eyes about how stupid that Biden has been.

Watching Grass Grow

 Most of us have heard the expression, " Watching Grass Grow".  Grass grows so slowly that you can not actually see it grow, but it does grow.  That is the point of this blog.

I have been watching the immigration situation and feel that many people look at the problem like Grass Growing.  They see millions of people coming across our borders, but when they look down the street from where they live, they do not see the impact of this immigration.  They then conclude that immigration is not a problem.  It is even worse for the religious groups who encourage immigration.  They want to do good and do not see the problem in the long term. 

I have asked my friends when they first noticed that at least 50% of the taxi drivers at the major airports appeared to be foreign born.  Some said they noticed the change as early as 1965.  How about you? In a prior blog, I pointed out that I first became aware of our problem with a shortage of doctors was 1975.  While I was waiting to have my hair cut, I read in the Scientific American Magazine that in the year 1975 was the first year that 50% of our new doctors admitted to practice were foreign born.  At the time I doubted the information because I rarely saw a foreign doctor when I went to the hospital.  That was because there were so many doctors in practice that were born in the USA that it was rare to see a foreign doctor, but like grass growing, that change over time.  In rural areas, we have over 90% foreign born doctors now.

Look at the Green Movement who want to save the world.  Unlike grass growing, they have jumped to the conclusion that we are all going to die in just a few years if we don't do something very radical.  Why is that?  It has to be clear to anyone who has half a brain that if pollution is the cause that it has be be caused by humans and the more humans we have on Earth, the more the pollution.  The median age of the USA is 39 and that of where the immigrants are coming from is 20 or less.  If they come here, you can expect them to continue to breed here.  Also where they came from they were poor and had a small effect on the atmosphere, but when here in the USA they will pollute like the richer USA citizens. Why don't the Green Movement understand this?  Why are they not against immigration from high birth rate countries?  Do you think that it has anything to do with Grass Growing?

Note that China seems to know all about Grass Growing.  They know that small things done today can have a large long term impact, while the USA seems to only look ahead to the next News cast.  We need to wake up or the weeds are going to take over our lawns and our country.