I hope this blog will provide some liberals an education about decision making.
There are severals items at play in Trump's decision about pulling our troops out of Syria and here are my points. First, many claim that we can't leave now after we have spend so much money. lives and time. For that reason we have to think about all those lives that were lost. On that basis, we need to stay! What do you think of this logic? It is a classic error made by most people to not recognize "sunk cost". Sunk cost is the cost and effort put into something that can never be recovered. This is one of the classic errors that most people make when they make bad decisions. When I used to teach decision theory, I used this simple example.
We have a young couple who want a home, but can not afford one now so they buy a lot with the idea of building a home when they can afford it. They paid $20,000 for the lot and have paid $5,000 toward their loan. The husband comes home one day and tells his wife that there is a lot in the same area that is equal to their's that is asking $12,000. The husband proposes that they default on their lot and buy this new lot. The wife is horrified and explains to her husband that if they default on their lot and buy the other lot, they will lose the $5,000 that they have already paid toward the other lot. The husband explains that the $5,000 is sunk cost and that they will actually save $2,000 by buying the new lot. Do you understand this? If not, don't waste your time reading the rest of this blog.
The other thing that we keep hearing is that we have not killed 100% of the terrorists and that we should keep up the battle until they are all dead. This is the perfect solution curse. How many times have you heard claims that a particular action or decision is not perfect? If you have a brain, you know that there will never be a perfect solution. Are you following this and have you seen people using the perfect solution as their argument? People who want perfect solutions are the ones who are the dupes for religion where they are promised perfect solutions.
The third point is that we need to get our "friends" to start pulling their own weight. Think of Europe and the fact that they are the ones who are being hurt the most by Muslim terrorists, not the USA. We have been paying the bill long enough and it will take something like what Trump is doing to get our "friends" off their dead asses. That is the other thing that Trump is doing. If we keep doing what we are now doing, nothing will ever change and you know it.
I back Trump 100% on this and you should too. Do you want to stay on dead center with everyone taking advantage of our stupidity? I don't and I am not stupid!
PS--I have been listening to all the comments about Trump's decision and "none" mention that the rest of the world needs to "step up" and assume some responsibility for the Muslim terrorist problem. Most of the world must be cowards, because they run from the fight rather than fighting to protect their own country. Trump is trying to "unlearn" them from all of our past Presidents who taught them that we would protect them and they could spend their own tax money on socialism!
There are severals items at play in Trump's decision about pulling our troops out of Syria and here are my points. First, many claim that we can't leave now after we have spend so much money. lives and time. For that reason we have to think about all those lives that were lost. On that basis, we need to stay! What do you think of this logic? It is a classic error made by most people to not recognize "sunk cost". Sunk cost is the cost and effort put into something that can never be recovered. This is one of the classic errors that most people make when they make bad decisions. When I used to teach decision theory, I used this simple example.
We have a young couple who want a home, but can not afford one now so they buy a lot with the idea of building a home when they can afford it. They paid $20,000 for the lot and have paid $5,000 toward their loan. The husband comes home one day and tells his wife that there is a lot in the same area that is equal to their's that is asking $12,000. The husband proposes that they default on their lot and buy this new lot. The wife is horrified and explains to her husband that if they default on their lot and buy the other lot, they will lose the $5,000 that they have already paid toward the other lot. The husband explains that the $5,000 is sunk cost and that they will actually save $2,000 by buying the new lot. Do you understand this? If not, don't waste your time reading the rest of this blog.
The other thing that we keep hearing is that we have not killed 100% of the terrorists and that we should keep up the battle until they are all dead. This is the perfect solution curse. How many times have you heard claims that a particular action or decision is not perfect? If you have a brain, you know that there will never be a perfect solution. Are you following this and have you seen people using the perfect solution as their argument? People who want perfect solutions are the ones who are the dupes for religion where they are promised perfect solutions.
The third point is that we need to get our "friends" to start pulling their own weight. Think of Europe and the fact that they are the ones who are being hurt the most by Muslim terrorists, not the USA. We have been paying the bill long enough and it will take something like what Trump is doing to get our "friends" off their dead asses. That is the other thing that Trump is doing. If we keep doing what we are now doing, nothing will ever change and you know it.
I back Trump 100% on this and you should too. Do you want to stay on dead center with everyone taking advantage of our stupidity? I don't and I am not stupid!
PS--I have been listening to all the comments about Trump's decision and "none" mention that the rest of the world needs to "step up" and assume some responsibility for the Muslim terrorist problem. Most of the world must be cowards, because they run from the fight rather than fighting to protect their own country. Trump is trying to "unlearn" them from all of our past Presidents who taught them that we would protect them and they could spend their own tax money on socialism!
